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2024-12-13 04:58:14

At the same time that A-shares opened higher and went lower, today's bond market is like a rainbow, and the seesaw effect of stock market and bond market reappears. The intraday 30-year treasury bond futures main contract rose by 1.60%, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.73%, and the 5-year main contract rose by 0.44%, hitting a record high. At the same time, the yield of government bonds kept falling, and the yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market fell below 1.85%, continuing to set a new record low.A shares opened higher and went lower, and staged a "hair set" market. What happened behind it? Some of the latent funds have been cashed in, and the seesaw effect of stock bonds has reappeared. What will happen to the stock market and bond market in the future?At the same time that A-shares opened higher and went lower, today's bond market is like a rainbow, and the seesaw effect of stock market and bond market reappears. The intraday 30-year treasury bond futures main contract rose by 1.60%, the 10-year main contract rose by 0.73%, and the 5-year main contract rose by 0.44%, hitting a record high. At the same time, the yield of government bonds kept falling, and the yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market fell below 1.85%, continuing to set a new record low.


Soochow securities said that "moderate easing" may mean that the interest rate cut is more than expected, and the liquidity is relaxed. Soochow securities believes that under the current loose monetary policy, next year will usher in the stage of "two bulls with stocks and debts", and it is expected that the yield of 10-year treasury bonds will drop to 1.5%.Some latent funds are cashing in well.Just last Friday, a lot of funds have entered the market, and the three major stock indexes of A shares rose more than 1% that day. Previously, the market essays have flowed out of the time of two major conferences, and the market traded the expectation of "two key conferences are good" many times in November. Previously, CITIC Securities had expressed its outlook for December in the research report, and it is expected that the policy of the Central Economic Work Conference will remain positive, reversing the expectation that institutional funds were too conservative; At the same time, it is expected that the economic data will rise steadily, and the partial improvement of the price signal in the real estate sector will also boost investor confidence; In the end, institutional funds, active funds and retail funds will gradually form a resonance to promote the market's new year's market.


By the close of treasury bond futures, the 30-year main contract rose 1.37%, the 10-year main contract rose 0.67%, the 5-year main contract rose 0.41% and the 2-year main contract rose 0.13%.Reproduction of seesaw effect of stock debtWhile some funds flow into the bond market, some funds choose to take profits.

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